Analysis published by the Joseph Rowntree Foundation
(JRF) shows that in April the value of the basic rate of unemployment benefit
fell by the greatest amount since 1972.
Peter
Matejic, Deputy Director for Evidence and impact at the JRF said “A decade of
cuts and freezes to benefits have left many people in our society in
increasingly desperate situations, struggling to afford food, energy and basic
hygiene products. Without urgent action from the government, the stark reality
is that the situation could get much worse” [1].
Benefits
increased by 3.1% in April, far behind an increase in inflation expected to hit
7.7% and continue rising. As a result, households receiving benefits will see real
terms cut to their income that could pull another 600,000 people into poverty.
Analysis
carried out by the JRF shows that in eight out of ten benefits level changes
between 2013 and 2022 the basic level of unemployment benefits has lost value
in real terms.
They
identify a precedence of benefit levels not keeping pace with inflation, but
this latest fall represents a significant loss in value as prices continue to
rise.
Peter
Matejic said “With living costs predicted to rise further this year, it is
difficult to comprehend the logic behind a choice not to act to protect the
value of benefits, thereby imposing the single biggest benefit cut of its kind
in fifty years. The government has chosen to weaken the incomes of the poorest
at the worst possible moment”.
This
latest blow to the incomes of the most vulnerable households comes as the cost
of living is continuing to rise.
In March
the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) predicted that inflation could reach
a forty year high of 8.7% as wages fail to keep pace, they warn living standards
are set to fall by 2.2% [2].
Additional
problems have been caused by the 54% hike in energy costs introduced at the start
of April, this is set to be followed by another significant rise in the Autumn.
Speaking to the commons Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy committee
leaders of the main energy companies warned an increase in people living in fuel
poverty is inescapable [3].
Further
pressure is being added to family budgets by the rising cost of food caused by
higher costs for producers and the impact of the war in Ukraine on global
supply chains.
Speaking
on the BBC Radio 4 Sunday Morning programme ASDA chair Stuart Rose said that
while retailers were, he believed, committed to “doing what we can to shield
customers”, prices would inevitably rise and that many families already
struggling with the cost-of-living crisis “are going to suffer” [4].
Across
the country communities go to the polls in local elections this week,
traditionally national issues cut less ice than matters such as poor road maintenance
and other parochial issues. That will not be the case this time.
These local
elections will be the first chance since 2019 for the public to express an
opinion on the progress of a Johnson government that promised to level up
struggling communities. A cost-of-living crisis sandwiched between a pandemic
and a possible European war has thrown things significantly off track. Not least
because their efforts to address all three have been slow, confused and often
ineffectual.
This should
be a boom time for Labour, they are ahead in the polls and should do well
picking up seats lost in previous local elections. Yet something about them
fails to convince and often even confuses voters.
Despite
being in a position to land a killer blow on a seemingly weekly basis leader Kier
Starmer pulls his punch more often than not. Preferring to rely on showing how
nifty his footwork is at keeping balance on the centre ground, even though the
latitude and public desire for something more challenging, even radical is
evident.
Predicting
election results is a far from exact science, what is clear though is that an election
the public go into feeling antagonism towards the government and bafflement as
to what alternative the opposition offers does not promise a happy outcome locally
or nationally.
[2] https://obr.uk/overview-of-the-march-2022-economic-and-fiscal-outlook/
[4] https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-61271562
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